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Why Stock Market Options That Drive You Crazy Often Get the Direction Wrong = Algorithmic Trading

๐Ÿ‘ค ๋ผ๋‘
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์ด๋ž€์ „์Ÿ์„ ์˜ˆ๋กœ ๋“ค์–ด ๋ด„

์ด๋ž€ ์ „์Ÿ ์ผ์–ด๋‚˜์ž๋งˆ์ž ๋Œ€ํ˜• ํ—ค์ง€ํŽ€๋“œ๋Š” ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ ๋งค๋„๋กœ ์ง€์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ํ•œ๋ฒˆ ๋ฐ€์—ˆ์Œ. ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰๋„ ์”น์žฅ๋Œ€์Œ๋ด‰์ž„

์ด๋•Œ ์–˜๋“ค์€ ๋ˆ์„ ๋‹ค ๋นผ๋†“์Œ (6์›” ์ดˆ๋ž‘ ๋น„์Šทํ•˜์ง€? Soxl -30% ๋‹นํ–ˆ๋˜ ๋‚ )

๊ทธ๋ฆฌ๊ณ  ์‹œ์žฅ ์ฐธ์—ฌ๋ฅผ ์ ๊ทน์ ์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์•„ ๋ฐ‘์— ์‚ฌ์ง„์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰์ด ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ค„์–ด๋“ฌ

0eebf67fbcf46885239bf093449c701fd632cd0870e7aa64ccf5e11a45a7b99d6011096f001e344edf07360273b1c7e86a4393


๊ทธ๋Ÿผ ์ด๋•Œ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋งˆ์ผ“๋ฉ”์ด์ปค์™€ ํ—ค์ง€ํŽ€๋“œ๋“ค์ด ์˜ต์…˜์งˆ์„ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•จ

VIX๊ฐ€ ์น˜์†Ÿ๊ณ  ๊ฑฐ๋ž˜๋Ÿ‰์ด ์ ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ์˜ต์…˜ ๋งฅ์ŠคํŽ˜์ธ ํ˜น์€ ์ฝœ์›” ํ’‹์›”์— ํ”ผ๋‹(๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ์ด ์ž์„์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ์ด๋Œ๋ฆฌ๊ฒŒ ๋จ) 

๊ทธ๋ž˜์„œ ์ด๋Ÿฐ ์กฐ์ •์žฅ์€ ์˜ต์…˜์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์‹œ์žฅ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ฑ์ด ๊ฒฐ์ • ๋  ํ™•๋ฅ ์ด ๋†’์Œ

๋ฌผ๋ก  ์˜ต์…˜ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ์„ฑ๋„ ๋งค์ผ ๋งค์ผ ๋ฐ”๋€Œ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ์‰ฝ์ง„ ์•Š์Œ 


๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‹ค๊ฐ€ ์–ด๋Š ์ˆœ๊ฐ„

๋Œ€ํ˜• ํ—ค์ง€ํŽ€๋“œ๋“ค์ด ๋ฌด์ง€์„ฑ ํ”„๋กœ๊ทธ๋žจ ๋งค์ˆ˜๋ฅผ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•จ, ์ด๊ฒŒ CTA ๋งค์ˆ˜์„ธ์ž„

๊ทธ๋Ÿผ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋˜๋ƒ? ์˜ต์…˜์งˆ ์ณ๋†“์€๊ฑฐ ์‹น๋‹ค ๋ถ€์ˆ˜๊ณ  ์˜ฌ๋ผ๊ฐ 

๊ทธ๋Ÿผ ์˜ต์…˜์Ÿ์ด๋“ค์€ ์ˆ์ปค๋ฒ„๋ง ์ˆ์Šคํ€ด์ฆˆ ๋‚˜์„œ ์ˆ ์†ํ•ด ๋ฉ”๊พธ๋ ค๊ณ  ์‹น๋‹ค ๋กฑ์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐ”๊ฟ”๋ฒ„๋ฆผ

๊ทธ๊ฒŒ ์œ„ ์‚ฌ์ง„ 3.31 ์ดํ›„ ์˜จ๊ฐ– ์•…์žฌ์—๋„ ๋ฌด์ง€์„ฑ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ค๋ฅธ ์ด์œ ์ž„


๊ฒฐ๋ก  

- ์˜ต์…˜์œผ๋กœ ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ ๋งž์ถ”๋Š” ๊ฑด ํ™•๋ฅ  ์‹ธ์›€์ด๋‹ค, ๋งค์ผ ์˜ต์…˜ ํ™•์ธ ํ•„์š”
- ์–ด๋Š ์ˆœ๊ฐ„ ์˜ต์…˜์ด ํ‹€๋ฆฐ๋‹ค? CTA ๋งค์ˆ˜ ๋‰ด์Šค๊ฐ€ ๋œฌ๋‹ค? ๋ฌด์ง€์„ฑ ์ƒ์Šน์žฅ ์‹œ์ž‘
- ๋ฐ˜๋Œ€๋กœ ์˜ต์…˜์Ÿ์ด๋“ค์ด ๋กฑ ์ณ๋†จ๋Š”๋ฐ CTA ๋งค๋„๊ฐ€ ๋œจ๊ณ  ์˜ต์…˜์ด ํ‹€๋ฆฐ๋‹ค? ๋ฌด์ง€์„ฑ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์กฐ์ • ์‹œ์ž‘์ž„

๐Ÿ”ฅ ์‹ค์‹œ๊ฐ„ ๋„คํ‹ฐ์ฆŒ ๋ฒ ์ŠคํŠธ ๋ฐ˜์‘

  • ใ…‡ใ…‡์ฝ”์Šคํ”ผ ์„ ๋ฌผ 1460~1470 ๋งˆ๊ฐ์ด๋ฉด ๋‹ค์Œ์ฃผ ์›”์š”์ผ ์ž ๊น ์ƒ์Šนํ•˜๊ณ  ๋‹ค์‹œ ๋‚ด๋ฆด ๊ฑฐ๋ผ๋Š” ๋‹˜ ๋ถ„์„ ๋ณด๊ณ  ์‚ผ์ „ ๋ ˆ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ์ง€ ์ข…๋ฒ ํ–ˆ๋Š”๋ฐ, ๋‚˜์œ ๊ฒฐ์ •์ด์—ˆ์„๊นŒ์š”?
  • bbic์ž˜๋ณด๊ณ ์žˆ์Œใ…‹ใ…‹ใ…‹์–ด๋ ต๋‹ค
  • ์ข…๊ฐ€์”น์ฐฝ๋‹จ์ด๊ฒŒ๋งž๊ธดํ•˜์ง€
  • ใ…‡ใ…‡์–ด๋””์„œ๋ณด๋‚˜์š”

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